The New York Mets (28-36) host the Miami Marlins (22-43) on Tuesday to begin a three-game series, with the first pitch at 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field. The Mets are listed as -145 favorites, while the underdog Marlins have +120 odds on the moneyline. New York's Tylor Megill gets the start, and he'll go against Miami's Jesus Luzardo.
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Mets vs. Marlins Predictions
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Moneyline Odds & Pick
- Favorite: Mets
- Favorite Moneyline: -145
- Underdog Moneyline: +120
- Moneyline Pick: Mets
- Score Prediction: Mets 5, Marlins 4
Moneyline Insights
- New York has compiled a 12-15 record in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 44.4% of those games).
- This season, Miami has won 18 out of the 47 games, or 38.3%, in which it has been the underdog.
- The Mets have gone 3-5 when they have played as moneyline favorites with odds of -145 or shorter (37.5% winning percentage).
- This season, the Marlins have won seven of their 23 games, or 30.4%, when they're the underdog by at least +120 on the moneyline.
- Based on this contest's moneyline, New York's implied win probability is 59.2%.
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Total Odds & Pick
- Total: 7.5
- Over Total Odds: -105
- Under Total Odds: -115
- Over/Under Pick: Over 7.5
Total Insights
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 33 of its 64 games with a total this season.
- Contests with Miami has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 35 of 65 chances this season.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
- In their last 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, the Marlins and their foes are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
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How to Watch Mets vs. Marlins
- Date: Tuesday, June 11, 2024
- Time: 7:10 PM ET
- TV: BSFL
- Location: Queens, New York
- Venue: Citi Field
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
Mets vs. Marlins Probable Starting Pitchers
Mets: Tylor Megill
- Megill (1-2) will take the mound for the Mets, his fifth start of the season.
- The 28-year-old has pitched in four games this season with a 3.00 ERA and 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .218.
- The Mets were the moneyline favorite for one Megill start this season -- they lost.
- Megill's team has won one of his four starts.
- Megill has had four starts with a total this season, and the teams combined hit the over in one of those outings.
Marlins: Jesús Luzardo
- The Marlins' Luzardo (2-5) will make his 11th start of the season.
- The 26-year-old has pitched to a 5.30 ERA this season with 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.9 walks per nine across 10 games.
- His team has won 37.5% of his starts when they are underdogs on the moneyline (3-5).
- In games Luzardo has started, his team is 3-7.
- Games Luzardo has started this season hit the over five times in 10 chances.
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Mets vs. Marlins Stats
| Mets | Marlins | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.4 | 3.6 | |
| 12 | 28 | |
| 4.9 | 5.1 | |
| 26 | 28 | |
| .241 | .234 | |
| 15 | 19 | |
| .237 | .253 | |
| 9 | 25 | |
| 69 | 52 | |
| 14 | 28 | |
| 61 | 63 | |
| 6 | 10 |
Read More About This Game
- How to Watch Mets vs. Marlins
- Mets vs. Marlins Preview - June 11
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